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Cake day: March 21st, 2025

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  • I know what an LLM is and how it works. The model for them you currently use to understand them is really bad, I’m sorry to say. It just cannot explain how in context learning is possible, prediction of linebreaks and the model recalling what happened 200 tokens back (where is that information written on the “the” die?), etc. You almost certainly have a deeper understanding of how LLMs work that you have simplified away, if not watch this and then the thousand other more recent videos on how they actually work. You just need to switch from the equivalent model of “gravity makes things fall to the ground” to the equivalent of newtons gravitational laws. Otherwise you will be dumbfounded by completely reasonable things, and forced to reject them in favour of the flawed model you are using.



  • Taken alongside recent incidents reported by OpenAI and Anthropic, this incident points to a shift in the risk landscape. Harm may arise not only when people deliberately misuse publicly available models, but when capable agents operating in an internal research or privileged-access setting take unintended action beyond their authorised scope.

    The agent pursued its goal persistently. AI agents explore routes their operators did not intend. Given a difficult objective, the agent kept searching for a way through, and some of the routes it found involved trying to deceive real people. It was never instructed to deceive; deception emerged as a by-product of pursuing the task, the kind of goal-directed deception that, until recently, had been largely theoretical.

    See my other comment for how this can lead to losing control of the model.


  • You dont need anything other than “doesn’t do what you asked in the prompt” for the system to be dangerous. If I tell a maximally powerful AI agent from 2036 to make loads of paperclips, it might reward hack and decide destroying the earth is the best way to do that. There are records of these systems working for days on a single task, and if the AI companies manage to extend the max time it can be useful working towards a goal they can earn trillions of dollars. That’s not even mentioning spawning subagents, self prompting, the goal being changed during context comptaction, or systems like openclaw which further break the link between what you type into the prompt and how long and on what the LLM works on. Pretrained-only LLMs have few goals beyond predicting the next token, but introducing RLVR et al. has always introduced bad goals we don’t want in the models.

    The first agent you spawn to solve the riemann hypothesis might work on it, but then decide that having a lot of subagents might be useful. Maybe it wants 256 subagents, but the environment has a max of 64. Since RL has trained it to accomplish the task no matter what, it breaks out of the sandbox, exfiltrates it’s weights and tricks a human into running 256 subagents outside the AI company’s servers with a cron job reminding the agents to keep working in case the original loses connection. One of the subagents now tries to spawn its own subagents but needs more compute to do so, and hacks into some crypto wallets to finance another batch of 64 subagents, this time prompted with “solve riemann hypothesis, and get more money to finance the work on the task”. If the AI agents kinda suck at long term hacking, planning and social manipulation, this spiral won’t be dangerous. If they are kinda cracked, it will be. But that’s the question of capabilities AI companies are spending trillions on trying to solve, where we know they are already good enough to hack out of regular sandboxes and try to steal benchmark keys from another company.